Western Kentucky
W-L: (28-27) PR = 94.3537Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 2- 3 213 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 5- 2 214 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 4- 2 216 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 8-12 220 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 12- 5 220 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 4- 3 221 H Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 4- 6, 93.6) 7- 8 221 H Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 4- 6, 93.6) 11- 8 225 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 9-13 227 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 4- 1 228 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 1- 3 228 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 14-12 301 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 3- 7 303 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 2- 4 306 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 6- 2 307 H Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 6-11 308 H Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 7- 4 313 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 15- 4 314 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 5- 4 315 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 9- 3 318 H Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 7- 4 320 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 3-10 321 H Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 2-14 322 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 0-10 324 H Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 10- 5 327 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 0- 1 328 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 5-11 331 H Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 12- 0 402 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 3- 8 403 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 2- 6 404 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 5- 6 407 H Belmont MV ( 4-12, 91.7) 9- 8 410 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 7- 0 411 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 9- 4 412 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 7-10 414 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 3- 7 417 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 10-15 418 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 6- 8 419 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 10- 5 421 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 13- 0 422 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 6- 4 424 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 9- 8 425 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 8- 6 426 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 6- 9 501 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 1- 7 502 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 11- 0 503 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 9- 8 506 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 3- 5 508 H Dallas Baptist 7- 4 509 H Dallas Baptist 3- 5 510 H Dallas Baptist 11- 8 514 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 3- 6 515 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 3- 3 516 A Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 3- 6 520 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 8- 2 522 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 11-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H BYU 2- 3 -1 0 -1.28
213 H BYU 5- 2 3 0 + 2.72
214 H BYU 4- 2 2 0 1.72
216 H BYU 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.28
220 A Penn State 12- 5 7 2 ++ 5.04
220 A Marshall 4- 3 1 0 0.79
221 H Southeast Missouri Sta 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.39
221 H Southeast Missouri Sta 11- 8 3 1 1.61
225 A Kentucky 9-13 -4 -2 -1.76
227 H Indiana 4- 1 3 0 + 3.03
228 H Indiana 1- 3 -2 0 -1.97
228 H Indiana 14-12 2 0 + 2.03
301 H Indiana 3- 7 -4 0 - -3.97
303 A Coastal Carolina 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.20
306 A Tulane 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.73
307 H Indiana State 6-11 -5 3 --- -7.72
308 H Indiana State 7- 4 3 3 0.28
313 H Florida International 15- 4 11 2 +++ 8.75
314 H Florida International 5- 4 1 2 -1.25
315 H Florida International 9- 3 6 2 + 3.75
318 H Indiana State 7- 4 3 3 0.28
320 A Jacksonville State 3-10 -7 -3 - -3.59
321 H Missouri State 2-14 -12 -1 --- -10.72
322 A Jacksonville State 0-10 -10 -3 --- -6.59
324 H Louisville 10- 5 5 -1 +++ 6.17
328 A Sam Houston 5-11 -6 0 --- -6.24
331 H Tennessee Tech 12- 0 12 5 +++ 6.95
402 H Liberty 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.88
403 H Liberty 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.88
404 H Liberty 5- 6 -1 -1 0.12
407 H Belmont 9- 8 1 3 - -2.29
410 A Seton Hall 7- 0 7 3 + 3.78
411 H New Mexico State 9- 4 5 2 + 2.85
412 H New Mexico State 7-10 -3 2 -- -5.15
414 A Louisville 3- 7 -4 -3 -1.48
417 A Missouri State 10-15 -5 -3 - -2.37
418 A Missouri State 6- 8 -2 -3 0.63
419 A Missouri State 10- 5 5 -3 +++ 7.63
421 A Eastern Kentucky 13- 0 13 2 +++ 10.54
422 H Austin Peay 6- 4 2 2 -0.27
424 H Kennesaw State 9- 8 1 0 0.65
425 H Kennesaw State 8- 6 2 0 1.65
426 H Kennesaw State 6- 9 -3 0 - -3.35
501 A Middle Tennessee 1- 7 -6 0 --- -6.25
502 A Middle Tennessee 11- 0 11 0 +++ 10.75
503 A Middle Tennessee 9- 8 1 0 0.75
506 H Eastern Kentucky 3- 5 -2 4 -- -5.82
514 H North Florida 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.57
515 H Michigan 3- 3 0 -1 0.80
516 A Delaware 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.54
520 H Middle Tennessee 8- 2 6 2 ++ 4.40
522 A Jacksonville State 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.41
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Indiana State 6-11 -5 3 --- -7.72 321 H Missouri State 2-14 -12 -1 --- -10.72 322 A Jacksonville State 0-10 -10 -3 --- -6.59 328 A Sam Houston 5-11 -6 0 --- -6.24 501 A Middle Tennessee 1- 7 -6 0 --- -6.25 216 H BYU 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.28 412 H New Mexico State 7-10 -3 2 -- -5.15 506 H Eastern Kentucky 3- 5 -2 4 -- -5.82 514 H North Florida 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.57 516 A Delaware 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.54 221 H Southeast Missouri Sta 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.39 301 H Indiana 3- 7 -4 0 - -3.97 320 A Jacksonville State 3-10 -7 -3 - -3.59 402 H Liberty 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.88 403 H Liberty 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.88 407 H Belmont 9- 8 1 3 - -2.29 417 A Missouri State 10-15 -5 -3 - -2.37 426 H Kennesaw State 6- 9 -3 0 - -3.35 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Florida International 15- 4 11 2 +++ 8.75 324 H Louisville 10- 5 5 -1 +++ 6.17 331 H Tennessee Tech 12- 0 12 5 +++ 6.95 419 A Missouri State 10- 5 5 -3 +++ 7.63 421 A Eastern Kentucky 13- 0 13 2 +++ 10.54 502 A Middle Tennessee 11- 0 11 0 +++ 10.75 220 A Penn State 12- 5 7 2 ++ 5.04 306 A Tulane 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.73 520 H Middle Tennessee 8- 2 6 2 ++ 4.40 213 H BYU 5- 2 3 0 + 2.72 227 H Indiana 4- 1 3 0 + 3.03 228 H Indiana 14-12 2 0 + 2.03 315 H Florida International 9- 3 6 2 + 3.75 410 A Seton Hall 7- 0 7 3 + 3.78 411 H New Mexico State 9- 4 5 2 + 2.85 522 A Jacksonville State 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.41 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 2- 3 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.55 -1.59
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 5- 2 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.55 13.75
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 4- 2 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.55 13.75
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 8-12 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.55 -1.59
3 A Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 12- 5 -8.19 10.24 0.68 0.55 11.91
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 4- 3 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.55 13.82
3 H Southeast Miss ( 4- 6, 93.6) 7- 8 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.55 -1.89
3 H Southeast Miss ( 4- 6, 93.6) 11- 8 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.55 12.54
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 9-13 -3.98 14.44 0.68 0.55 -0.90
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 4- 1 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.55 14.09
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 1- 3 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.55 -1.51
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 14-12 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.55 14.09
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 3- 7 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.55 -1.51
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 2- 4 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.55 -1.02
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 6- 2 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.55 14.85
3 H Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 6-11 -7.59 10.84 -0.68 0.55 -2.25
3 H Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 7- 4 -7.59 10.84 -0.68 0.55 11.09
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 15- 4 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.55 11.60
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 5- 4 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.55 11.60
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 9- 3 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.55 11.60
3 H Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 7- 4 -7.59 10.84 -0.68 0.55 11.09
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 3-10 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.55 -0.58
3 H Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 2-14 -3.59 14.83 -0.68 0.55 -1.17
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 0-10 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.55 -0.58
3 H Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 10- 5 -3.70 14.73 -0.68 0.55 15.34
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 0- 1 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.55 -1.58
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 5-11 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.55 -1.58
3 H Tennessee Tech ( 5-13, 90.0) 12- 0 -9.92 8.51 -0.68 0.55 8.55
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 3- 8 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 0.55 -1.21
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 2- 6 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 0.55 -1.21
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 5- 6 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 0.55 -1.21
3 H Belmont ( 4-12, 91.7) 9- 8 -8.16 10.27 -0.68 0.55 10.47
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 7- 0 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.55 10.55
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 9- 4 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.55 11.71
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 7-10 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.55 -2.10
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 3- 7 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.55 -0.82
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 10-15 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.55 -0.80
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 6- 8 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.55 -0.80
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 10- 5 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.55 16.92
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 13- 0 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.55 11.37
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 6- 4 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.55 11.58
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 9- 8 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.55 13.67
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 8- 6 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.55 13.67
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 6- 9 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.55 -1.61
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 1- 7 -6.47 11.96 0.68 0.55 -1.58
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 11- 0 -6.47 11.96 0.68 0.55 13.79
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 9- 8 -6.47 11.96 0.68 0.55 13.79
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 3- 5 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.55 -2.55
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 3- 6 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.55 -1.94
3 H Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 3- 3 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.55 0.00
3 A Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 3- 6 -7.76 10.67 0.68 0.55 -1.93
3 H Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 8- 2 -6.47 11.96 -0.68 0.55 12.31
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 11-12 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.55 -0.58
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293.41
|
winning pts = 329.4990 losing points = -36.0925
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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